Here’s How Nate Silver Did With His Oscar Predictions


Nate Silver, the man who predicted President Barack Obama’s reelection and correctly called all 50 states — and is included in this year’s just-released Ad Age Digital A-List — issued his Oscar predictions (for the top six categories) last week in a post titled “Oscar Predictions, Election-Style.” His approach was to “look solely at the other awards that were given out in the run-up to the Oscars: the closest equivalent to pre-election polls. These have always been the best predictors of Oscar success.”

How’d he do? Here’s your executive summary:

Best Picture: “Argo” — correct!

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